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Warrantech Corporation (WTEC)
By: Richard W. West, CFA
WARRANTECH EXPANDS PRESENCE IN CANADA
CANADIAN SUBSIDIARY SIGNS THREE MEANINGFUL CONTRACTS
DOMESTIC CUSTOMER BASE INCREASED WITH SIGNING OF WHEREHOUSE ENTERTAINMENT
SPECULATIVE BUY RECOMMENDATION REITERATED
Warrantech's Canadian subsidiary, RepairMaster Canada signed two major
contracts in the last two months.
- On March 28, 2002, RepairMaster Canada announced that it had signed
an agreement with AWC Communications, a cellular phone retailer based
in Lethbridge, Alberta. AWC, who has eight retail locations in Calgary,
Lethbridge and Taber, will market RepairMaster Canada's XchangeCard
product replacement program to its cellular phone customer base, AWC
sells about 8,000 handsets annually in Canada.
- On June 6, 2002, RepairMaster Canada signed a three-year agreement
with Visions, one of the largest electronic retailers in Western Canada.
RepairMaster Canada will provide Visions with professional marketing
services through Warrantech Direct. Warrantech Direct will use direct
mail and telemarketing campaigns to reach Visions' customer base to
offer service contracts, product replacement and renewal coverage on
Visions' customer base who created consumer electronic sales in excess
of $113 million ($170 million Canadian.
- On June 11, 2002, RepairMaster Canada signed a three-year agreement
with Audio Warehouse who in Warrantech's words is "the most established
electronics retailer in the Province of Saskatchewan, Canada."
Under the terms of the agreement, Warrantech Direct will utilize telemarketing
and direct mail campaigns to contact Audio Warehouse customers to offer
service contracts, product replacement and renewal coverage on consumer
electronics purchased by Audio Warehouse customers. Audio Warehouse
has a customer base worth more than $20 million ($30 million Canadian).
Domestically, On April 9, 2002, Warrantech signed a three-year agreement
with Wherehouse Entertainment, Inc. one of the largest retailers of prerecorded
music, video and consumer electronics in the United States. Wherehouse,
who has 400 niche-oriented specialty retail stores in 24 states, has begun
to sell Warrantech's Xchange Card Program through its recently introduced
Digital Wherehouse concept that is a store-within-a-store offering digital
electronic equipment.
Warrantech has signed seven new agreements covering electronic retailers
in Canada, Peru and the United States since the first of this year. We
expect increased revenues from these contracts in the year ended March
31, 2003. The additional revenues from these contracts added to the growth
in revenues from its existing customers validate our estimates of $42.2
million in revenues and earnings per share of $0.29 for the current fiscal
year vis-à-vis our estimates of $36.2 million of revenues and $0.11
earnings per share for the year ended March 31, 2002.
SUMMARY:
Based on these estimates and the current price of $0.63 a share, the stock
is now trading at a 5.7 price earnings ratio for the year ended 3/31/02
and 2.2 price earnings ratio for year ended 3/31/03. We are cognizant
of the drawbacks of the general market weakness and Warrantech's listing
on the Bulletin Board, however, we can not state strongly enough that
we believe that at current levels Warrantech is a compelling BUY that
offers investors an excellent opportunity for long-term capital appreciation
with minimum downside risk. We reiterate our Strong Speculative Buy
on Warrantech Corporation and out price target of $1.75 for a twelve to
eighteen-month timeframe.
J.M. Dutton& Associates, LLC. John M. Dutton,
President and Supervisory Analyst, 1129 Manning Drive, Suite 310, El Dorado
Hills, CA 95762 Phone (916) 941-4985, Fax (978) 418-6422 Email: [email protected]
Web site: www.JMDutton.com
Information, opinions or recommendations contained
in this research note are submitted solely for advisory and information
purposes. The information used and statements of fact made have been obtained
from sources considered reliable but we neither guarantee nor represent
the completeness or accuracy. Such information and the opinions expressed
are subject to change without notice. This research note is not intended
as an offering or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities
mentioned or discussed. Neither the Firm, its principals, nor the assigned
analysts own or trade shares of any company covered. The Firm does not
accept any equity compensation. Anyone may enroll a company for research
coverage, which costs US $22,000 prepaid for one-year. Reports are performed
on behalf of the public, and are not a service to any company. The analysts
are responsible only to the public, and are paid in advance to eliminate
pecuniary interests and insure independence. Please read full disclosure
and other reports and notes on the Company at www.JMDutton.com.
© Copyright, 2002, by J.M. Dutton & Associates, LLC.
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